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| THE RACE DEVELOPS |
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| Wednesday, 18 June 2008 | |
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Former Congressman John LeBoutillier The new spate of Quinnipiac polls from Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania have rocked the GOP political establishment.Here is the brief overview from Quinnipiac: This is the first time Sen. Obama has led in all three states. No one has been elected President since 1960 without taking two of these three largest swing states in the Electoral College. Results from the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University polls show: Florida: Obama edges McCain 47 - 43 percent; Ohio: Obama tops McCain 48 - 42 percent; Pennsylvania: Obama leads McCain 52 - 40 percent. In the three states, Obama leads McCain 10 to 23 percentage points among women, while men are too close to call. The Democrat trails among white voters in Florida and Ohio, but gets more than 90 percent of black voters in each state. He also has double-digit leads among young voters in each state. "Finally getting Sen. Hillary Clinton out of the race has been a big boost for Sen. Barack Obama. He now leads in all three of the major swing states, although his margins in Florida and Ohio are small," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Believe me: these results - especially in Florida (thought to be secure for McCain) and Ohio (very winnable for the GOP - especially with Governor Ted Strickland stating he would not accept the Veep slot from Obama) - have shaken the McCain campaign and renewed the fear that an anti-GOP, anti-Bush tsunami is rolling in this fall - and it may take not only McCain along with it but dozens of GOP House and Senate hopefuls, as well.
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