|
Tuesday, 13 May 2008 |
Former Congressman John LeBoutillier Here is a question you hear all the time these days: “McCain...Obama...what a choice! How can this country survive four more years with either of these two as President?” Ask most voters - Republican, Democrat or Independent - and they are unhappy about the state of the 2008 Presidential campaign today - with the exception of the legions of Obama supporters who adore him and see him as their Messianic Savior.
Hillary voters are aghast at the thought of their Democrat Party being taken over by Obama. Republicans and Conservatives, too, are extremely lukewarm - at best - toward McCain; at worst at least 25% of Republican primary voters continue to traipse to the polls in Indiana, Pennsylvania and North Carolina to vote against McCain. And now we read that the Ron Paul forces plan to disrupt the GOP Convention in September as a protest against McCain. Independent voters - by their nature - are not happy either with the two parties. That is why they have opted out of the two-party system. So as we enter the final six months of this endless and seemingly aimless Presidential race, where are we? Let us take a look: The GOP Situation: • McCain is incredibly weak in his own party. There is no enthusiasm for him at all. And there is genuine dislike for him among hard-core conservatives; their dislike has increased as this year has gone on; • As the economy sours, McCain’s numbers decline, too. In fact, his numbers are actually declining; in some recent head-to-head polls (meaningless as a predictor of the winner six months ahead but good to judge his strengths and weaknesses) he is under 40% now. • McCain the Candidate does not speak with passion or knowledge about the economy, job-creation, health care or any other domestic issue; his confidence is highest when he discusses military matters; • Do you ever find anyone who adores McCain? Who would die for McCain the way voters would die for a Nixon or a Reagan? No! • A McCain voter generally is someone who dislikes McCain less than he or she dislikes the alternative; • Technically, McCain looks old, is stiff on the stump, can’t read a TelePrompter, is not inspirational and has created a Gigantic Problem for himself on his Right; • But he still might win! • How? Because Obama is almost unelectable. Let us examine: The Democrats: • A careful state-by-state analysis of the Battleground States shows that Hillary would run much better against McCain than Obama would. I.E. Florida: Hillary leads Mccain by 11; Obama loses by ten. I.E. Hillary runs much better in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Arkansas than Obama does. • Michigan is a huge problem for the Democrats because of their indicted Detroit Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick. His status has so divided Michigan that it is doubtful Obama could carry it in the fall; • No one has a clue what Hillary plans to do - or when. Is she still “in it to win it”? Or is she now looking to damage Obama so she can come back in 1012 in a “I told you so” campaign. • The Democrats are truly amazing. In a year they almost cannot lose, they may pick the one candidate - Obama - who cannot win. • Obama’s naivite and lack of international knowledge is a problem for us all. When the sycophant media praises him they only reinforce a false premise: Obama is actually as badly prepared for the Presidency as was G.W. Bush and Jimmy Carter; • There is still a feeling that there are other ‘skeletons’ or other ‘Reverend Wrights’ yet to be uncovered on Obama; the Clintons ain’t giving up yet; • Hillary knows this - and she also feels Obama would lose in November. So she will soldier on - hoping lightning strikes before Denver; • The Democratic infrastructure - from whence come the Super Delegates - is sick and tired of Hillary and Bill Clinton. “Payback is a bitch” - and the Clintons are getting their payback from costing their party the House, Senate (1994) and the (Gore) Presidency (2000) and for the embarrassment of the Lewinsky impeachment saga. • Obama is the Mirror Opposite of the Bushes and the Clintons - and he was against the war in Iraq. This is why he has almost won the nomination. Conclusion: you get the feeling that ‘something’ is going to happen and shake up this race - perhaps on both sides.
The noted conservative, former Congressman John LeBoutillier - author of Harvard Hates America - writes strong - and unique commentary and analysis on all things political. John LeBoutillier is also a regular contributor to Borderfire Report.
You can e-mail John at
This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it
We Invite You To Visit John's Website
John LeBoutillier: Authors Bio and Archives
Trackback(0)
|